Since the thread hasn't ended.....
Something that I'm still deciding how I feel about is this...and I'm going to paint the picture in rather broad strokes....
A) The health care law will require everyone to buy insurance. Those who can't afford it will evidently receive some kind of govt support in getting it (that part has changed back and forth.) It seems to me that this is potentially a huge moneymaker for the insurance companies, as they will have a nationally captive market. Don't assume for a minute that they won't set premiums at levels that guarantee them a healthy profit...and we all have to pay. Personally, I don't see how requiring everyone to buy health insurance from a commercial carrier is significantly different than requiring all drivers to buy car insurance from a commercial carrier, so I guess there's plenty of precedent for this approach. (Yes, there's a big difference in that driving is a privilege rather than a right...not so for the health insurance...but bear with me.)
So - that means everyone will pay a commercial insurance carrier some amount, right? And for those too poor to pay for it, they'll be covered by the government - using tax money evidently paid to commercial insurance carriers.
B) If the bill had gone entirely to a publicly run option, then the government would be running the health care coverage (an idea that many people detest, for reasons well discussed in this thread) and the insurance premium payments people would otherwise be making to commercial carriers would instead become taxes paid to the govt. There is much to debate about whether the govt would run such a program cost effectively or well, but let's set that aside - it's beside my point. In this case, poor people would be covered essentially the same way they will be with the other plan - via tax money. In Option A you pay premiums, in Option B you pay taxes. In both cases, you're obligated to pay.
In my mind, from the consumer's point of view there's not a lot of difference between paying $$ to a commercial insurer with a profit motive vs. paying taxes to a govt agency which runs health care but has no profit motive. I suppose the change would ripple through the economy because commercial health insurers would either be out of business or assume some new role in such an arrangement, although it appears to me they would be superfluous. They are huge businesses, so that would likely have negative effects on the economy.
This whole approach seems to me to be a gift that assures insurance companies of ongoing income and a major - if not controlling - role in the logistics of health care, and mandating that these billions will go through commercial companies seems like a fantastic deal for the insurers. They may not like the provisions about pre-existing conditions and similar changes, but they'll just raise their rates to cover those provisions.
I'm sure many people assume that commercial firms have more motive to insure an effective system than government would and will therefore be more cost-effective and efficient, but I'm not entirely convinced...and the idea of guaranteeing them profits in perpetuity doesn't thrill me.
Do I have the picture SOMEWHAT right?